Ole Miss
W-L: (38-25) PR = 97.6700Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 11- 3 214 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 5- 1 215 H Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 13- 2 217 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 7- 3 218 A Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 18- 1 220 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 11- 2 221 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 6- 3 222 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 3- 2 224 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 13- 3 227 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 5- 6 228 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 8- 0 301 A Fairfield MAAC ( 6- 9, 93.0) 2- 6 303 A Cal State Fullerton BW (21-34, 93.7) 7- 3 304 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 8- 6 306 A Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 7-10 306 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 14-10 308 H Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 8- 3 310 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 1- 2 313 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 9- 8 314 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2-11 315 A Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2- 8 317 H Austin Peay AS (25-30, 92.8) 9- 5 319 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 5- 0 320 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 1- 3 321 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 12- 4 324 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 2- 6 327 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 4- 5 328 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 1- 6 329 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 1- 7 331 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 7- 4 402 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 6- 4 403 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 0- 2 404 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 5- 2 407 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 11- 1 410 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 411 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 12- 2 412 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 8- 7 414 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 10- 3 417 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 7- 4 418 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 8- 1 419 A Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 5-13 421 H Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 19- 2 425 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 10- 8 425 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 7- 9 426 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 5 428 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 3- 7 501 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 2-12 502 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 11- 4 503 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 4- 5 508 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 5- 3 509 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 6- 5 509 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 5-18 512 H UT Martin OV ( 3- 4, 89.6) 17- 6 514 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 4- 9 515 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 9- 9 516 A Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 2- 6 519 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 8-10 529 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 7- 6 531 H Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 5- 4 605 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 6- 4 606 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 5- 3 612 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2- 6 612 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 2- 6 614 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Nevada 11- 3 8 5 + 2.53
214 H Nevada 5- 1 4 5 -1.47
215 H Nevada 13- 2 11 5 ++ 5.53
217 A Alabama 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.09
218 A Alabama State 18- 1 17 5 +++ 8.78
220 A Delaware 11- 2 9 5 ++ 4.15
221 H Missouri State 6- 3 3 2 0.96
222 H Missouri State 3- 2 1 2 -1.04
224 H Southeast Missouri Sta 13- 3 10 5 ++ 5.29
227 H Baylor 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.62
228 A Ohio State 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.04
301 A Fairfield 2- 6 -4 4 --- -7.96
303 A Cal State Fullerton 7- 3 4 3 0.71
304 A Cal State Bakersfield 8- 6 2 4 - -2.11
306 A Austin Peay 7-10 -3 4 --- -7.23
306 A UTSA 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.16
308 H Evansville 8- 3 5 7 -1.86
310 A Southern Miss 1- 2 -1 0 -1.37
313 A Texas 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.47
314 A Texas 2-11 -9 -2 --- -6.53
315 A Texas 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.53
317 H Austin Peay 9- 5 4 6 -1.59
319 H Kentucky 5- 0 5 2 + 2.57
320 H Kentucky 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.43
321 A Middle Tennessee 12- 4 8 4 ++ 4.44
324 A Memphis 2- 6 -4 3 --- -6.62
327 H Mississippi State 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.01
328 H Mississippi State 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.01
329 H Mississippi State 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.01
331 H Central Michigan 7- 4 3 6 - -3.01
402 A Florida 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.27
403 A Florida 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.73
404 A Florida 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.27
407 A USC 11- 1 10 0 +++ 10.50
410 A Florida State 6- 3 3 0 + 2.99
411 H LSU 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.66
412 H LSU 8- 7 1 1 -0.34
414 H Southern Miss 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.28
417 A Tennessee 7- 4 3 0 + 2.69
418 A Tennessee 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.69
419 A Tennessee 5-13 -8 0 --- -8.31
421 H Murray State 19- 2 17 7 +++ 7.46
425 H Georgia 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.60
425 H Georgia 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.40
426 H Georgia 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.40
428 A Mississippi State 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.66
501 A Arkansas 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.48
502 A Arkansas 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.52
503 A Arkansas 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.48
508 H Texas A&M 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.65
509 H Texas A&M 6- 5 1 -1 1.65
509 H Texas A&M 5-18 -13 -1 --- -12.35
512 H UT Martin 17- 6 11 9 + 2.30
514 H Vanderbilt 4- 9 -5 1 --- -6.22
515 H Vanderbilt 9- 9 0 1 -1.22
516 A Alabama 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.91
519 H Missouri 8-10 -2 4 -- -5.84
529 H Arizona State 7- 6 1 1 0.30
531 H Arizona State 5- 4 1 1 0.30
605 A Auburn 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.88
606 H Auburn 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.53
612 A North Carolina 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.20
612 A North Carolina 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.20
614 H Troy 8-12 -4 2 --- -6.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Fairfield 2- 6 -4 4 --- -7.96 306 A Austin Peay 7-10 -3 4 --- -7.23 314 A Texas 2-11 -9 -2 --- -6.53 324 A Memphis 2- 6 -4 3 --- -6.62 419 A Tennessee 5-13 -8 0 --- -8.31 501 A Arkansas 2-12 -10 -1 --- -9.48 509 H Texas A&M 5-18 -13 -1 --- -12.35 514 H Vanderbilt 4- 9 -5 1 --- -6.22 614 H Troy 8-12 -4 2 --- -6.12 227 H Baylor 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.62 320 H Kentucky 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.43 328 H Mississippi State 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.01 329 H Mississippi State 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.01 519 H Missouri 8-10 -2 4 -- -5.84 304 A Cal State Bakersfield 8- 6 2 4 - -2.11 315 A Texas 2- 8 -6 -2 - -3.53 331 H Central Michigan 7- 4 3 6 - -3.01 426 H Georgia 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.40 516 A Alabama 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.91 612 A North Carolina 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.20 612 A North Carolina 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Alabama State 18- 1 17 5 +++ 8.78 228 A Ohio State 8- 0 8 2 +++ 6.04 407 A USC 11- 1 10 0 +++ 10.50 411 H LSU 12- 2 10 1 +++ 8.66 418 A Tennessee 8- 1 7 0 +++ 6.69 421 H Murray State 19- 2 17 7 +++ 7.46 502 A Arkansas 11- 4 7 -1 +++ 7.52 215 H Nevada 13- 2 11 5 ++ 5.53 217 A Alabama 7- 3 4 0 ++ 4.09 220 A Delaware 11- 2 9 5 ++ 4.15 224 H Southeast Missouri Sta 13- 3 10 5 ++ 5.29 306 A UTSA 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.16 321 A Middle Tennessee 12- 4 8 4 ++ 4.44 404 A Florida 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.27 414 H Southern Miss 10- 3 7 2 ++ 5.28 213 H Nevada 11- 3 8 5 + 2.53 313 A Texas 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.47 319 H Kentucky 5- 0 5 2 + 2.57 402 A Florida 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.27 410 A Florida State 6- 3 3 0 + 2.99 417 A Tennessee 7- 4 3 0 + 2.69 425 H Georgia 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.60 508 H Texas A&M 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.65 512 H UT Martin 17- 6 11 9 + 2.30 605 A Auburn 6- 4 2 -2 + 3.88 606 H Auburn 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.53 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 11- 3 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.45 9.69
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 5- 1 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.45 9.69
3 H Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 13- 2 -7.03 11.40 -0.68 0.45 9.69
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 7- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 14.72
3 A Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 18- 1 -8.13 10.30 0.68 0.45 9.92
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 11- 2 -7.76 10.67 0.68 0.45 10.25
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 6- 3 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.45 12.79
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 3- 2 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.45 12.79
3 H Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 13- 3 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.45 10.38
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 5- 6 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.45 -1.32
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 8- 0 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.45 12.86
3 A Fairfield ( 6- 9, 93.0) 2- 6 -6.87 11.56 0.68 0.45 -1.40
3 A Cal State Full (21-34, 93.7) 7- 3 -6.19 12.23 0.68 0.45 11.67
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 8- 6 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.45 10.93
3 A Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 7-10 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.45 -1.46
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 14-10 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.45 14.78
3 H Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 8- 3 -8.41 10.01 -0.68 0.45 8.44
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.45 -0.59
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 9- 8 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.45 16.87
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2-11 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.45 -0.05
3 A Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2- 8 -0.44 17.99 0.68 0.45 -0.05
3 H Austin Peay (25-30, 92.8) 9- 5 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.45 9.59
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 5- 0 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.45 12.44
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 1- 3 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.45 -1.05
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 12- 4 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.45 11.42
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 2- 6 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.45 -1.10
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 4- 5 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.45 -0.28
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 1- 6 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.45 -0.28
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 1- 7 -0.56 17.86 -0.68 0.45 -0.28
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 7- 4 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.45 9.21
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 6- 4 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.45 15.79
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 0- 2 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.45 -0.22
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 5- 2 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.45 15.79
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 11- 1 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.45 15.09
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 6- 3 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.45 14.63
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 12- 2 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.45 13.43
3 H LSU (31-26, 97.0) 8- 7 -2.89 15.53 -0.68 0.45 13.43
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 10- 3 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.45 13.08
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 7- 4 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.45 14.36
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 8- 1 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.45 14.36
3 A Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 5-13 -3.21 15.22 0.68 0.45 -0.57
3 H Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 19- 2 -8.09 10.34 -0.68 0.45 8.73
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 10- 8 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.45 15.18
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 7- 9 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.45 -0.37
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 5 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.45 -0.37
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 3- 7 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.45 -0.03
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 2-12 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.45 -0.39
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 11- 4 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.45 15.11
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 4- 5 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.45 -0.39
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 5- 3 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 15.22
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 6- 5 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 15.22
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 5-18 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.45 -0.36
3 H UT Martin ( 3- 4, 89.6) 17- 6 -10.25 8.17 -0.68 0.45 6.78
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 4- 9 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.45 -0.78
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 9- 9 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.45 0.00
3 A Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 2- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.45 -0.48
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 8-10 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.45 -1.37
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 7- 6 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.45 14.00
3 H Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 5- 4 -2.26 16.17 -0.68 0.45 14.00
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 6- 4 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.45 16.34
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 5- 3 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.45 15.12
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2- 6 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.45 -0.10
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 2- 6 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.45 -0.10
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 8-12 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.45 -0.98
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469.43
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winning pts = 483.7903 losing points = -14.3591
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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